Prediction Markets

Deep analysis of prediction market mechanics, platforms, pricing behavior, and the wisdom of crowds.

26 articles

Connecticut Expands Prediction Market Crackdown: Subpoenas Apple, Google, PayPal, ESPN, and 15 Newsrooms in Sweeping InvestigationPrediction Markets

Connecticut Expands Prediction Market Crackdown: Subpoenas Apple, Google, PayPal, ESPN, and 15 Newsrooms in Sweeping Investigation

Ezekiel Njuguna·September 11, 2026
4 min
Arizona Moves to End Kalshi Sports Contract Fight While Election Markets Remain UnresolvedPrediction Markets

Arizona Moves to End Kalshi Sports Contract Fight While Election Markets Remain Unresolved

Ezekiel Njuguna·September 10, 2026
4 min
 Inside Kalshi and Maryland's Fourth Circuit Showdown Over Sports Event ContractsPrediction Markets

Inside Kalshi and Maryland's Fourth Circuit Showdown Over Sports Event Contracts

Ezekiel Njuguna·September 10, 2026
4 min
Robinhood Halts New Sports Event Contracts in Michigan on September 9, 2026Prediction Markets

Robinhood Halts New Sports Event Contracts in Michigan on September 9, 2026

Ezekiel Njuguna·September 9, 2026
7 min
Illinois Uses Iowa Kalshi Ruling to Fight Prediction Market InjunctionPrediction Markets

Illinois Uses Iowa Kalshi Ruling to Fight Prediction Market Injunction

Ezekiel Njuguna·September 9, 2026
5 min
CFTC Exchange Outage Rules: What Happens to Orders When Polymarket or CME FreezesPrediction Markets

CFTC Exchange Outage Rules: What Happens to Orders When Polymarket or CME Freezes

Ezekiel Njuguna·September 6, 2026
11 min
Binance Wallet Launches $100,000 Predictfun Football Trading CompetitionPrediction Markets

Binance Wallet Launches $100,000 Predictfun Football Trading Competition

Ezekiel Njuguna·September 5, 2026
8 min
Polymarket’s Token Looks a Lot Like OpenSea’s SEA Token PlaybookPrediction Markets

Polymarket’s Token Looks a Lot Like OpenSea’s SEA Token Playbook

Ezekiel Njuguna·September 4, 2026
10 min
Polymarket CLOB Explained: Central Limit Order Book Meaning and How It Matches Your TradePrediction Markets

Polymarket CLOB Explained: Central Limit Order Book Meaning and How It Matches Your Trade

What the Polymarket CLOB is, how the central limit order book matches bids and asks, the role of spread and depth, and how your order finds a fill.

Mary Ngaruiya·September 2, 2026
13 min
Polymarket Under Pressure: Outages, Stale Order Losses, Rebategate and Wallet ConcernsPrediction Markets

Polymarket Under Pressure: Outages, Stale Order Losses, Rebategate and Wallet Concerns

Polymarket faced major outages, stale order losses, rebate disputes, wallet concerns and unresolved markets on August 30–31. Here’s what happened.

Ezekiel Njuguna·August 31, 2026
11 min
Polymarket Taker Delay Controversy: Whiskas, CLOB Malfunction, and Community OutcryPrediction Markets

Polymarket Taker Delay Controversy: Whiskas, CLOB Malfunction, and Community Outcry

Is Polymarket's 50ms taker delay being bypassed? Community data shows Whiskas executing fills under 100ms. No official response from the team yet.

Ezekiel Njuguna·August 30, 2026
8 min
Best Prediction Market Apps in September 2026: Kalshi, Polymarket, FanDuel and More RankedPrediction Markets

Best Prediction Market Apps in September 2026: Kalshi, Polymarket, FanDuel and More Ranked

Best prediction market apps in September 2026 ranked and tested on iPhone and Android. Kalshi vs Polymarket vs FanDuel Predicts, fees, legality and download guide.

Ezekiel Njuguna·August 23, 2026
9 min
Why Weather Traders Must Watch the Aug 24 NOAA Migration on Polymarket and Other NewsPrediction Markets

Why Weather Traders Must Watch the Aug 24 NOAA Migration on Polymarket and Other News

Polymarket clarifications: Iran Aug 17 resolved YES at 5:30 PM ET, weather markets switch to NOAA Aug 24 after Seoul error, plus rebategate update.

Mary Ngaruiya·August 22, 2026
3 min
How Old Do You Have to Be to Use KalshiPrediction Markets

How Old Do You Have to Be to Use Kalshi

Kalshi requires users to be 18, verified by ID and KYC checks. Some states differ. Here's the current age rule, state exceptions, and new 2026 safeguards.

Mary Ngaruiya·August 9, 2026
5 min
A Google Engineer Made $1 Million on Polymarket, and a White House Aide Made $100K on Kalshi—You're the Exit Liquidity Prediction Markets

A Google Engineer Made $1 Million on Polymarket, and a White House Aide Made $100K on Kalshi—You're the Exit Liquidity 

Microsoft just updated its insider trading policy for prediction markets. A Google engineer made $1M on Polymarket. A White House aide made $100K on Kalshi.

Ezekiel Njuguna·August 1, 2026
4 min
Kalshi vs. Polymarket: Inside the Espionage Accusations and Offshore Exchange Fight Reshaping Prediction MarketsPrediction Markets

Kalshi vs. Polymarket: Inside the Espionage Accusations and Offshore Exchange Fight Reshaping Prediction Markets

Kalshi vs Polymarket explained. Discover the truth behind the corporate espionage accusations, the CFTC offshore exchange fight, and what it means.

Ezekiel Njuguna·July 3, 2026
12 min
Entertainment Prediction Markets 2026Prediction Markets

Entertainment Prediction Markets 2026

Trade entertainment prediction markets through Oscars, Grammys, box office milestones, and pop culture events with where to trade and how.

Mary Ngaruiya·June 29, 2026
10 min
Mobile Prediction Market AppsPrediction Markets

Mobile Prediction Market Apps

Technical explainer on mobile prediction market apps. Compare the architecture, order execution, WebSocket latency, and UX of Polymarket, Kalshi, Robinhood

Ezekiel Njuguna·June 22, 2026
8 min
How to Start Trading on Prediction Markets: Step-by-StepPrediction Markets

How to Start Trading on Prediction Markets: Step-by-Step

Start small, treat your first $50-100 as tuition for learning the platform

Ezekiel Njuguna·June 18, 2026
4 min
Top Polymarket Markets Right Now: The Most Active Prediction Markets Updated Daily Prediction Markets

Top Polymarket Markets Right Now: The Most Active Prediction Markets Updated Daily

The markets we are about to cover aren't speculative parlay tickets. They represent tens or hundreds of millions of dollars of real capital being priced by thousands of participants who have genuine financial skin in the game.

Ezekiel Njuguna·June 18, 2026
6 min
Prediction Markets vs Sports Betting: What's the Key Difference?Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets vs Sports Betting: What's the Key Difference?

Sports betting and prediction markets both let you profit from correct predictions, but they do it in fundamentally different ways. Prediction markets are exchanges, not bookmakers. They cover far more than sports. They're regulated federally, not by states. And their pricing is transparent.

Ezekiel Njuguna·June 17, 2026
4 min
How Polymarket LP Rewards Work and How Much You Can Earn in 2026Prediction Markets

How Polymarket LP Rewards Work and How Much You Can Earn in 2026

This guide explains exactly how Polymarket LP rewards work, who qualifies, how to find the most profitable markets, and how to calculate your expected earnings before committing any capital.

Ezekiel Njuguna·June 16, 2026
13 min
Weather Prediction Markets: Trading Temperature, Storms & Climate EventsPrediction Markets

Weather Prediction Markets: Trading Temperature, Storms & Climate Events

Temperature markets are popular because they are resolved based on official, unambiguous data from agencies like NOAA.

Mary Ngaruiya·June 16, 2026
4 min
What Are Prediction Markets? A Complete Beginner's GuidePrediction Markets

What Are Prediction Markets? A Complete Beginner's Guide

Prediction markets aren't just gambling with extra steps. They serve a genuine purpose: aggregating information.

Ezekiel Njuguna·June 15, 2026
4 min
How Do Prediction Markets Work? Contracts, Odds & Payouts ExplainedPrediction Markets

How Do Prediction Markets Work? Contracts, Odds & Payouts Explained

Every prediction market trade centers on an event contract. This is a simple financial instrument with two possible outcomes: Yes or No.

Ezekiel Njuguna·June 15, 2026
4 min
Prediction Markets for Beginners: 10 Mistakes to AvoidPrediction Markets

Prediction Markets for Beginners: 10 Mistakes to Avoid

New traders often find one market they feel strongly about and pour most of their bankroll into it. This is a recipe for disaster.

Ezekiel Njuguna·June 15, 2026
5 min