About Predictions Market Fans
Predictions Market Fans is an editorial publication covering prediction markets, forecasting, probabilistic analysis, and data-driven commentary.
What We Cover
Predictions Market Fans covers prediction markets, probabilistic forecasting, market sentiment analysis, and data-driven commentary across politics, economics, crypto, sports, and technology. We explain how markets price uncertainty, identify mispricings, and break down the mathematics behind prediction platforms. Explore our platform reviews or browse all articles.
Our Approach
Every article starts with data. We pull live information from Polymarket, Kalshi, Metaculus, and other platforms. We run the calculations ourselves and verify the numbers before publishing. If a strategy claims a 12% return, we show the backtest. If a market price implies a probability, we explain the conversion math.
We stress-test workflows rather than summarizing press releases. When we review a platform, we use it. When we write about a trading strategy, we model it. When we compare forecasting methods, we pull the calibration data. Try our free LP Reward Scanner and Arbitrage Scanner to see this approach in action.
Calibration Over Confidence
We track our accuracy. When we get something wrong, we say so and explain what we missed.
Show the Math
Every claim is backed by data. We pull live API data, run calculations, and show our work.
Editorial Independence
We don't accept sponsored content that compromises our analysis. Our readers come first.
Depth Over Speed
We publish fewer articles at higher quality. Every piece goes through rigorous fact-checking.
The Team
Ezekiel Njuguna
Editor-in-Chief
Ezekiel Njuguna is the Editor-in-Chief of Predictions Market Fans, where he helps make probabilistic thinking clear and practical for readers. With a strong focus on quantitative research and market mechanics, he leads the site’s technical guides, including a detailed breakdown of Kalshi Combos. His writing connects economic theory with real-world trading strategy, including practical discussions of how yield-bearing tools can support active bankroll management.
Mary Ngaruiya
Political Markets Correspondent
Mary Ngaruiya is our Political Markets Correspondent, covering the overlap between legislative policy and regulatory conflict. Her reporting brings clear analysis to the federal preemption debate, examining disputes between the CFTC and state gaming regulators. She is also known for tracking emerging legal risks, including questions around whether federal employees may trade sensitive event contracts, and for explaining how rulings can differ across states such as Nevada and Massachusetts.