Economic Analysis

X Money's 6% Yield Could Quietly Fund Your Kalshi and Polymarket Bankroll

Economic Prediction Markets 2026: Trading the Fed, CPI, Jobs & GDP Data Cycle

Understanding Liquidity in Prediction Markets: Why It Matters

Is My Money Safe on Prediction Markets? Consumer Protection Guide

How to Use Prediction Markets to Hedge Real-World Risk

Bankroll Management for Prediction Markets: Don't Go Broke

What Are Event Contracts? The Financial Instrument Behind Prediction Markets

An event contract is a financial instrument traded on an exchange. You're buying and selling contracts with other market participants, and the price is set by collective supply and demand, not by a bookmaker.

How to Read and Analyze Prediction Market Data Like a Pro

Volume spikes often precede or coincide with price moves. A sudden surge in volume without a corresponding news event might indicate that informed traders are positioning ahead of something the broader market hasn't caught yet.

Prediction Markets vs Stock Market: How Event Contracts Compare to Stocks

Event contracts and stocks are fundamentally different financial instruments, and understanding those differences will make you a better trader in both.

The Mathematics of World Cup Prediction Markets: How to Calculate True Edge Over the Crowd

This article walks through every calculation you need: converting raw contract prices into implied probabilities, identifying and removing the overround baked into multi-outcome markets, computing expected value on individual positions, sizing those positions with the Kelly criterion, and spotting cross-platform arbitrage between Polymarket and Kalshi.