#Prediction Markets
17 articles tagged “Prediction Markets”
Economic AnalysisFed Decision September 2026: Why Prediction Markets Price a Hold at 72%
No change priced at 72.5¢ on Polymarket for the Sept 15-16 FOMC, with ~26% risk of a hike remaining. Here's the data and the Sept 15 CLARITY vote convergence.
OpinionAnthropic Just Passed OpenAI in Revenue. Here's What the Dual AI IPOs Mean for Traders
Anthropic out-earned OpenAI in Q2 2026 for the first time. How the dual AI IPOs, valuations, and prediction markets are pricing the race.
Crypto SentimentBinance Agent OS: How AI Agents Trade Crypto for You (and What It Means for Prediction Markets)
Binance launched Agent OS on Aug 20, 2026—AI agents that trade spot, futures, and wallets with real money. What it means for prediction markets.
Crypto SentimentThe CLARITY Act: How Prediction Markets Priced the Crypto Bill from 82% to 23 Cents
The CLARITY Act (H.R. 3633) went from 82% to ~23% on Polymarket in six months. Here's what the bill does, the Sept 15 cloture math, and what the markets say.
Sports ProjectionsKalshi August 20-21 Saudi Pro League + La Liga + Copa Libertadores + Europa League Football Match Predictions
Kalshi football predictions for Saudi Pro League, La Liga, Copa Libertadores and European qualifiers. Picks include Al-Hilal, Benfica, Salzburg, Rayo Vallecano
ResearchPrediction Market Statistics 2026: The Complete Industry Data Report
Prediction markets hit $64B in 2025, projected $240B+ in 2026. See Polymarket, Kalshi data, user demographics, accuracy rates, and growth forecasts through 2030
Economic AnalysisKalshi IPO Rumors Explained: What Is Confirmed and What Is Speculation?
Kalshi stock is not publicly available yet. Learn about the potential Kalshi IPO, ticker symbol, valuation, private shares, and how investors may gain access.
ForecastingHow to Actually Win on Kalshi Weather Markets During This Monster El Nino
Record heat could reshape weather markets through 2027. Learn how to assess Kalshi odds, read forecasts, manage risk, and avoid overpriced trades.
Sports ProjectionsWhy Sharp Bettors Are Fleeing to Kalshi
Professional bettors are moving to Kalshi to escape limits, get fairer prices, and trade at size. Here’s what’s driving the sharp migration from sportsbooks.
ResearchIs Kalshi or Polymarket Bigger? The 2026 Volume Numbers, Explained
Kalshi moved $31.5B in June 2026, nearly 3x Polymarket's $10.8B. Full breakdown of volume, market share, valuation, and what's driving the gap.
OpinionSharia Compliance and Event Contracts: Is Trading on Polymarket or Kalshi Halal or Haram?
Discover if trading on Polymarket or Kalshi is halal or haram. We break down the Islamic finance rules of Gharar, Maysir, and Riba regarding prediction markets.
Platform ReviewsIs Polymarket Legal in New Jersey?
Polymarket US is legal in New Jersey under CFTC regulation. Full breakdown of state challenges, federal preemption, and what NJ traders need to know.
Economic AnalysisExit Strategies: When to Sell Your Prediction Market Contracts
Learn when to sell prediction market contracts early, how to lock in profits, cut losses, and manage risk.
Economic AnalysisDo You Have to Pay Taxes on Kalshi Winnings
Kalshi profits are taxable even without a 1099. Here's how the IRS classifies them, what form Kalshi actually sends, and the 2026 loss-cap rules to know.
Prediction MarketsHow Old Do You Have to Be to Use Kalshi
Kalshi requires users to be 18, verified by ID and KYC checks. Some states differ. Here's the current age rule, state exceptions, and new 2026 safeguards.
Crypto SentimentPrediction Markets Are Overtaking Crypto at Robinhood, and Bernstein Just Put a $160 Target on It
Bernstein lifts Robinhood (HOOD) to $160 as Rothera's prediction markets near $150M in Q2 2026, on track to top crypto. Inside the $70B fee pool.
ForecastingMeta Arena: Facebook's New Prediction Market App for 3 Billion Users Explained
Meta is reportedly building a prediction markets app called Arena, combining AI, forecasting, and event trading. Here’s what the project could mean