Superforecasters vs. Prediction Markets: Who Wins in 2025?
A calibration comparison of Good Judgment Project superforecasters against Polymarket prices across 200+ resolved questions.
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Political Markets Correspondent
Political economist and forecasting researcher whose work spans electoral probability, geopolitical risk, environmental studies and macro sentiment. She has contributed to academic journals on superforecasting and advises on scenario modeling for institutional research teams.
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Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading guidance. Prediction market participation involves risk of loss. Always conduct your own research before making any financial decisions.
