August 24 Football Predictions Across Europe and Saudi Arabia on Kalshi and Polymarket

August 23 delivered another strong result, with the two combined win rates finishing at 86.36%. Win-Draw-Loss landed at 10/11, or 90.91%, while Handicap Direction finished at 9/11, or 81.82%.

The August 24 card brings 11 matches across the Premier League, Serie A, Spain's La Liga, Ligue 2, Primeira Liga, the Saudi Pro League, the Swedish Allsvenskan and Brasileirão. The listed fixtures include Bologna vs Lazio, Roma vs Fiorentina, Fulham vs Chelsea, Osasuna vs Levante and Málaga vs Deportivo La Coruña.

There are some strong home and away directions, but the early-season situation still makes heavy handicaps risky. Several teams are adjusting to new managers, dealing with injuries or balancing domestic matches with European commitments. The best approach is to trust the stronger side while protecting the draw when the gap is not large enough.

1. Bologna vs Lazio

This looks like a close Serie A matchup. Lazio hold a slight edge in recent head-to-head meetings, but Bologna have the home advantage and enough market support to keep the game competitive.

Both teams are also working through new-manager integration, and neither side has looked completely stable in attack. That points toward a low-scoring stalemate rather than an open contest.

Bologna may avoid defeat at home, but there is no support for them winning by two clear goals. The 1-1 scoreline is the main prediction.

Best lean: Draw or Bologna win
Handicap focus: Bologna -1 handicap loss
Score focus: 1-1, 1-0, 0-1
Total goals: 1 or 2

2. Osasuna vs Levante

Osasuna have the home advantage and should be stronger in physical battles. They also beat Levante 2-0 in their last home meeting, giving the hosts an additional psychological boost.

However, Osasuna are dealing with a packed schedule and an incomplete squad. That could affect their intensity, especially if Levante remain compact and force the hosts to create patiently.

The home win is worth considering, but a narrow victory is more likely than a comfortable result. The key draw cover is 1-1.

Best lean: Osasuna win or draw.
Handicap focus: Osasuna -1 handicap loss/handicap draw
Score focus: 1-0, 1-1, 2-0
Total goals: 1 or 2

3. Roma vs Fiorentina

Roma are the stronger direction here. Their defensive performance was stable last season, and the home advantage should help them control the tempo. They also won the most recent meeting between the two teams.

Fiorentina have not always been reliable away from home, while Roma still have a few players recovering from injury. That makes a straight home win more attractive than an aggressive handicap.

Roma should have enough to take three points, but chasing a three-goal victory is unnecessary.

Best lean: Roma win
Handicap focus: If Roma -1 is available, handicap win or handicap draw
Score focus: 2-0, 2-1, 1-0
Total goals: 2 or 3

4. Fulham vs Chelsea

Chelsea have the better squad depth and more individual quality, especially in midfield and attack. Their overall ceiling is higher, and that gives them the main advantage in this London derby.

Still, both clubs are adjusting to new coaching systems, and derby matches can ignore the usual difference in squad quality. Fulham should be motivated at home and may make the game uncomfortable through physical pressure and quick transitions.

Chelsea are slightly favored to win, but Fulham receiving one goal offers better protection.

Best lean: Chelsea win or draw
Handicap focus: Fulham +1 handicap wwin/handicapdraw
Score focus: 1-2, 1-1, 0-1
Total goals: 2 or 3

5. Málaga vs Deportivo La Coruña

Málaga have the home atmosphere behind them, but their opening-round attack was only average. The squad also still needs time to adjust to the intensity and demands of La Liga.

Deportivo La Coruña are expected to prioritize defensive organization, and the overall strength gap between the teams is not large enough to trust a heavy home handicap. This has the feel of a cautious match where both sides will be more concerned about avoiding defeat.

The draw is the primary pick, with Málaga’s home win as the protection.

Best lean: Draw or Málaga win
Handicap focus: Málaga -1 handicap loss
Score focus: 1-1, 1-0, 0-0
Total goals: 1 or 2

6. Al-Futowa SC vs Al-Kholood

Al-Kholood have the stronger squad on paper and hold the head-to-head advantage after beating Al-Futowa 1-0 in their previous meeting.

However, Al-Futowa have shown good early-season form, while injuries have weakened Al-Kholood’s attacking options. That makes a dominant away performance difficult to trust.

Al-Kholood are still slightly favored, but the match should stay close. Avoid chasing a two-goal-plus away victory.

Best lean: Al-Kholood win or draw.
Handicap focus: If Al-Futowa +1 is available, handicap win or handicap draw
Score focus: 1-1, 0-1, 1-2
Total goals: 1, 2 or 3

7. Malmö vs Djurgården

The points and market support are very close, so this is one of the more unpredictable fixtures on the card. Malmö won the first meeting 1-0 away, giving them a slight psychological advantage heading into the rematch.

Djurgården’s attack has been in decent form, which means Malmö cannot afford to defend passively. The match has plenty of variance potential, and the handicap offers more protection than chasing a straight home win.

Receiving one goal makes Malmö the safer side for this market.

Best lean: Malmö win or draw.
Handicap focus: Malmö +1 handicap win
Score focus: 2-1, 1-1, 1-2
Total goals: 2 or 3

8. Al-Ittihad Jeddah vs Al-Fateh

Al-Ittihad have the historical head-to-head advantage, stronger home form and the deeper squad. The market also supports the home side, making the standard win the natural direction.

The main concern is defensive availability. Injuries and suspensions could prevent Al-Ittihad from keeping a clean sheet, and the match may not be as one-sided as the squad gap suggests.

The home win is reliable, but the safer approach is to accept a one-goal margin rather than demand a big handicap cover.

Best lean: Al-Ittihad Jeddah win
Handicap focus: If Al-Ittihad -1 is available, handicap win or handicap draw
Score focus: 2-0, 2-1, 1-0
Total goals: 2 or 3

9. Reims vs Annecy

Reims have the stronger squad and the home advantage, but they have not won their new-season opener and have already shown defensive weaknesses.

Annecy have started better, recording consecutive wins and clean sheets. That makes them dangerous enough to challenge Reims, especially if the home side fails to improve its final-third efficiency.

Reims should avoid defeat, but there is no strong support for them covering the handicap comfortably.

Best lean: Reims win or draw.
Handicap focus: Reims -1 handicap loss
Score focus: 1-1, 1-0, 2-1
Total goals: 1, 2 or 3

10. Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia

Gil Vicente were stable in their opening match and have also been strong at home recently. They beat Casa Pia 2-1 at home last season, which gives them a useful historical and tactical reference point.

Casa Pia’s early defensive numbers have been poor, and the pressure of playing away could expose more gaps. Gil Vicente should control the match better and create the clearer chances.

The home win is reliable, but a one-goal victory remains the safer scoreline expectation.

Best lean: Gil Vicente win
Handicap focus: Gil Vicente -1 handicap win/handicap draw
Score focus: 2-0, 2-1, 1-0
Total goals: 2 or 3

11. Botafogo vs Athletico Paranaense

Athletico Paranaense have the better current ranking and stronger overall form. They also beat Botafogo 4-1 in the first head-to-head meeting of the season, giving them a clear psychological edge.

Botafogo are dealing with a managerial change and also have a midweek South American fixture to consider. Fatigue, rotation and squad stability could all become problems, especially in the second half.

Athletico Paranaense avoiding defeat is the priority. Botafogo receiving one goal is too generous to ignore, and the away side should be able to keep this close even if they do not win.

Best lean: Athletico Paranaense win or draw.
Handicap focus: Botafogo -1 handicap loss
Score focus: 0-1, 1-1, 1-2
Total goals: 1, 2 or 3

Final Match Priority

The strongest straight-win directions are Roma, Chelsea, Al-Ittihad Jeddah and Gil Vicente. These teams have the clearest advantages in squad quality, home strength or attacking depth.

The more cautious matches are Bologna vs Lazio, Málaga vs Deportivo La Coruña, Malmö vs Djurgården and Reims vs Annecy. Those fixtures have stronger draw potential because of close quality gaps, defensive concerns or uncertain early-season form.

The best approach is to avoid forcing every handicap. Back the stronger teams where the advantage is clear, protect the draw in balanced matches, and keep stakes small.

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