Articles by James Chen
(2)The Crypto Fear Index Is Broken. Heres What Actually Predicts Drawdowns
The popular Crypto Fear & Greed Index has a 0.12 correlation with 30-day forward returns. Three lesser-known indicators do significantly better.
James Chen·June 3, 2025
9 minThe Behavioral Economics of Overconfidence in Prediction Markets
Prediction market traders consistently overprice high-probability events and underprice long shots.
James Chen·May 22, 2025
8 min